Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000150 0.000166 0.000184 0.000203 0.000226 0.000250 0.000278
2025-08-31 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000197 0.000236 0.000283 0.000342
2025-09-07 0.000099 0.000125 0.000156 0.000197 0.000251 0.000320 0.000414
2025-09-14 0.000088 0.000116 0.000151 0.000201 0.000269 0.000360 0.000493
2025-09-21 0.000078 0.000106 0.000143 0.000197 0.000275 0.000385 0.000553
2025-09-28 0.000068 0.000095 0.000133 0.000190 0.000274 0.000398 0.000597
2025-10-05 0.000063 0.000091 0.000130 0.000192 0.000288 0.000434 0.000678
2025-10-12 0.000059 0.000088 0.000130 0.000197 0.000305 0.000475 0.000773
2025-10-19 0.000054 0.000082 0.000124 0.000194 0.000309 0.000497 0.000839
2025-10-26 0.000051 0.000079 0.000123 0.000197 0.000322 0.000535 0.000935
2025-11-02 0.000048 0.000075 0.000118 0.000194 0.000327 0.000558 0.001008
2025-11-09 0.000045 0.000072 0.000115 0.000194 0.000334 0.000587 0.001094
2025-11-16 0.000041 0.000068 0.000111 0.000191 0.000338 0.000610 0.001177
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.000063 0.000105 0.000184 0.000335 0.000621 0.001237
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000060 0.000103 0.000185 0.000344 0.000657 0.001354
2025-12-07 0.000034 0.000059 0.000102 0.000188 0.000360 0.000707 0.001510
2025-12-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000185 0.000362 0.000728 0.001605
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000052 0.000093 0.000178 0.000355 0.000732 0.001658
2025-12-28 0.000028 0.000050 0.000092 0.000180 0.000368 0.000780 0.001825
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000050 0.000093 0.000184 0.000386 0.000840 0.002034
2026-01-11 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000182 0.000388 0.000865 0.002155
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000046 0.000089 0.000184 0.000402 0.000918 0.002362
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000045 0.000087 0.000182 0.000405 0.000946 0.002502